Matlab market maan raha hai listing par ~22% profit.
Lekin kya ye sach mein itna simple hai?
Teeno "sabse bade" the. Teeno mein listing gain nahi mila.
Growth, margin, debt, ARPU, valuation.
Chhote font wali baatein.
Listing gain, long term, Reliance shareholder.
Sabse important baat end mein: shareholder quota. Uski date nikal chuki hai.
Duniya ke do sabse smart investors IPO mein ek bhi share nahi bech rahe.
Long-term wale take mein ye point wapas aayega.
Asli sawaal: ye price sahi hai ya mehnga?
Top price ₹1,119 par
Lagbhag 30× demand
BlackRock, GIC, Norges Bank, ADIA, Fidelity, LIC, SBI MF, HDFC AMC
Lekin anchor demand listing gain ki guarantee nahi. LIC, Hyundai ke anchor bhi full the.
Data ke saath. Kagaz par nahi.
Revenue +10.8% · EBITDA +12.1%
Ye Paytm nahi hai. Ye ₹30,000 crore saal ka profit kama ke aa raha hai. (₹ crore)
Har ₹100 revenue mein se…
operating profit
Airtel India bhi isi range mein. Par Jio ka scale 1.4× bada.
Cash ₹51,833 cr ke baad
Listing ke baad lagbhag debt-free
Ye bachega, seedha profit mein
Ek asterisk hai. Negative 2 mein batata hoon.
ARPU = ek customer se mahine ka average paisa
53 cr × ₹48 × 12 mahine, saal ka extra revenue
12% tariff hike expected (3–4 mahine). Network ka kharcha same, profit seedha upar.
Maang sakte the ₹11 lakh cr.
Maanga ₹10.3 lakh cr. Thoda table par chhoda.
Toh sab theek? Nahi.
Jo brokers ki report mein chhote font mein hai.
FD se thoda hi zyada
P/E sasta isliye dikh raha hai kyunki return bhi kam hai.
Spectrum ka deferred payment
"Liability" mein hai, "borrowing" mein nahi
Sarkar ko spectrum ka paisa, kisht mein.
5G, 6G, AI. Kharcha chalta rahega.
revenue via
Reliance Retail
FY26 growth
Beech ka gap = interest. IPO ka paisa isko theek karega.
| IPO | Size | Pehla din (close) | Baad mein |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paytm 2021 | ₹18,300 cr | −27% | Issue price se 50%+ neeche, saalon tak |
| LIC 2022 | ₹20,557 cr | −8% | 2026 mein bhi issue price se neeche |
| Hyundai 2024 | ₹27,870 cr | −7% | April 2026 mein −13% |
Itna bada issue absorb karne ke baad listing day pe khareedne wale kam padh jaate hain.
| Profit kama raha tha? | Promoter bech raha tha (OFS)? | |
|---|---|---|
| Paytm | Nahi, loss-making | — |
| LIC | Haan | Haan, OFS |
| Hyundai | Haan | Haan, OFS |
| Jio | Haan, ₹30,000 cr | Nahi, 100% fresh issue |
Paytm wala crash: case nahi lagta.
LIC/Hyundai wali flat listing: ho sakti hai.
Earnings ke hisaab se Airtel se kam multiple
Har ₹100 equity pe kamai aadhi se kam
Reliance ne thoda chhoda hai, kyunki aage Reliance Retail ka IPO aana hai.
Mujhe listing gain chahiye ya 5 saal ka investment?Dono ka plan bilkul alag hai.
Ye paisa loan ya FD tod ke toh nahi aa raha?Agar haan, toh ruk jao.
Portfolio mein Reliance pehle se kitna hai?Jio mein daala toh Reliance pe double bet.
Allotment nahi mila, toh mera plan kya hai?Listing ke baad price settle hone tak wait?
5× subscribe hua toh, 5 mein se ~1 ko
Allotment ~1-in-5, GMP ki guarantee nahi. Khelna ya nahi — aapka call, lottery samajh kar.
✕ Loan le kar, FD tod kar, 14 lot mat lagao.
LIC, Hyundai, Zomato: listing ke 3 mahine baad IPO se sasta mila. Jaldi nahi hai.
₹2 lakh tak apply
Shareholder + retail, dono mein
Nikal chuki. Aaj khareedne se quota nahi.
Reliance ke paas Jio ka 64% — matlab Reliance shareholders ke paas Jio ka exposure pehle se hai. Ye fact hai, recommendation nahi.
Listing gain: Reading LOTTERY — allotment ~1-in-5, GMP ki guarantee nahi.
Long term: Reading FAIR — quality asli (₹30,000 cr profit), sawaal bhi asli (RoE 9.4%).
Shareholder quota: record date (14 Oct) nikal chuki — ab uska chakkar nahi.
Final call: aapka + SEBI-registered advisor ka. Hum data dikhate hain, order nahi.
Jo dost ye bol raha hai, use ye video bhejo.
Aapki reading — Lottery ya long-term? Kyun?
Allotment ke baad listing analysis
Data as of 20 Oct 2026 · Sources: RHP via Chittorgarh, BusinessToday, Business Standard, CNBC, Angel One, Arihant Plus, Kotak Neo, Upstox, InvestorGain (GMP). GMP unofficial hai aur roz badalta hai. Educational content hai, investment advice nahi. Hum SEBI-registered advisors nahi hain — ye data-reading hai, buy/sell recommendation nahi. Apply karne se pehle apni research karo aur SEBI-registered advisor se salah lo.